Radar Armenia spoke with public figure Mikael Hayrapetyan about the situation on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border and the deployment of international observation groups.
-Despite the presence of the EU technical assessment group, Azerbaijan violates the ceasefire regime with daily activity, this time also with large-caliber weapons. What does this mean? In your opinion, are there other forces behind such a way of working or not?
- Azerbaijan violated and will violate the ceasefire, regardless of whether Europeans will be standing on the Armenian side of the border for a maximum of two months or not. Taking advantage of the fact that Russia needs the so-called "corridor," Today, with Russia's permission, Azerbaijan will try to implement the "corridor" with military, diplomatic, and energy trade tools shortly for further profitable trade with Russia. And yes, behind Azerbaijan's way of working, as you say, there is another power, and that "other power" is Russia.
- RA Foreign Minister stated that the issue of deploying OSCE observers is also being discussed and noted that there is already a preliminary decision to send CSTO observers. In your opinion, are these working mechanisms, and can they be considered a tool of international pressure on Azerbaijan?
- The presence of European observers is a means of short-term containment of the Russian-Turkish-Azerbaijani regional project, better than nothing. It is even funny that there is an Armenian decision to deploy CSTO observers. Can our authorities take a different conclusion than the one instructed by Moscow? CSTO anything, including the observation mission, cannot be impartial or pro-Armenian. Subsequently, any activity of that structure will be against our national interests. Today, no power center has tools to pressure Azerbaijan except the Russian-Turkish alliance. The objective measure would be to remove the Russian presence from Armenia and replace it with fundamental American military forces, which is not in the American calculations, as far as I understand. And since the Turks and Azerbaijanis have also seen the moment, they tend to fly as much as possible and disrupt any Western-brokered agreement, even a medium-term agreement, it remains for us to navigate between these antagonistic forces and their interests effectively and to organize ourselves as quickly as possible into popular resistance, such as a was even successfully implemented by Garegin Nzhdeh.
Hayk Magoyan