Politics

Azerbaijan is in a hurry until the geopolitical situation changes

The interlocutor of Radar Armenia is Shahan Gantaharyan, an international scientist and analyst.

- On October 21-27, at the invitation of the RA government, the OSCE will send a needs assessment group to Armenia. What are your expectations from the technical team composed of international experts and representatives of the OSCE Secretariat?

- The activation of the OSCE should be considered within the framework of systematic infiltration of various international family structures in the direction of Russian domains. Here the problem has a critical tone. The OSCE, in the co-chair format of its Minsk Group, received international authority to mediate the negotiations on the resolution of the Artsakh conflict. Now there is a reshaping of the field of powers, and the function of the OSCE is changing, moving from the Artsakh contact lines to the Armenia-Azerbaijan state border. General trends lead to the Armenia-Azerbaijan demarcation-demarcation process, which will not positively impact Artsakh's status or the realization of the right to self-determination. A transformation of the powers of the OSCE is recorded.

-Also, there is a preliminary decision to send CSTO observers. Should we consider this step in the context of Russia-West competition or in settlement of the situation on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border?

- The determination of the details of sending CSTO observers depends on the meeting of the CSTO Council. The work of the urgent operational decision-action mechanism of the EU and the OSCE is observed, while CSTO's slowness is observed.CSTO is chaired by Yerevan, which showed promptness on the occasion of the events in Kazakhstan. There are questions regarding the president's powers, but there is a political explanation. Russia continues to say it is the main guarantor and mediator of the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict. And the mediator, who is the binding force of the CSTO, and to maintain the status of the super-mediator, plays by the rules of equality. Unlike the EU and the OSCE, Russia will propose an observation or fact-finding mission on the border's Armenian and Azerbaijani sections. And the EU and the OSCE were deployed only in the Armenian part of the border.

-Despite the presence of the EU technical assessment group, Azerbaijan violates the ceasefire regime with daily activity, this time also with large-caliber weapons. What does this mean?

- The logic of Azerbaijani actions is clear. Shoot as a means of repression. That was the case for the closure of the Berdzor corridor and the opening a new route. They attacked in the direction of the Armenian positions, after which the Armenian side accelerated the works of closing the Lachin Corridor and building a new road. Now they are shooting to start the demarcation works quickly. They are in a hurry until the geopolitical situation changes. That is why the Armenian side expected from the OSCE a mere observation mission and a preventive mission of new possible attacks.

Hayk Magoyan